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June 07, 2010
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Corporate Attitudes toward
Revised Money Lending Control Act
Approx. 50% of firms
are worried Revised Money Lending Control Act may
lead to increased bankruptcies
A revised Money Lending Control Act will be implemented
on June 18, 2010 in response to the multiple debt problem,
which has become increasingly serious as of late. The
revised act will include total lending volume controls,
which are expected to help avoid over-borrowing and
over-lending, abolish so-called "gray-zone"
interest rates, tighten controls on moneylenders, and
strengthen countermeasures against black-market lenders.
TEIKOKU DATABANK conducted a survey to investigate corporate
attitudes towards the revised Money-Lending Control
Act.
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Research Period
:
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May 20 to 31, 2010
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| Research
Subject : |
21,362 corporations
across Japan
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| Valid
Responses : |
10,806 corporations
(response rate 50.6%)
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48.6% worried revised act may lead to increased
bankruptcies
As a possible merit of the revised Money Lending
Control Act, which will be fully implemented on June
18, 2010, the possibility that the revised act may
lead to a decrease of over-lending accounted for the
largest share of all valid responses, representing
54.5% of the 10,806 companies, followed by a potential
decrease of heavily indebted people, accounting for
49.0%, and lowered maximum interest rates (by the
abolishment of the so-called "gray-zone"
interest rates), 46.2% (with multiple answers allowed).
Meanwhile, the two most concerned negative consequences
of the implementation of the revised act were the
possible increased difficulty in borrowing small amounts
of money in an emergency situation, which accounted
for the largest share of all valid responses, representing
50.7% of the 10,806 companies, and increased bankruptcies
(of sole proprietorships), 45.8%. In addition, increased
bankruptcies (of incorporated enterprises) accounted
for 14.9%, indicating that 48.6% of companies expect
the revised act to lead to an increase in bankruptcies
of sole proprietorships or incorporated companies.
Merits/Demerits
of Revised Money Lending Control Act
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Merits
|
%
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# of firms
|
| 1 |
Decreased
over-lending |
54.5
|
5,885
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| 2 |
Decreased
heavily indebted people |
49.0
|
5,297
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| 3 |
Lowered
maximum interest rates (Abolishment of "gray-zone"
rates) |
46.2
|
4,987
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| 4 |
Reduced
interest rates |
36.8
|
3,973
|
| 5 |
Tightened
restrictions on entry to money lending business |
18.5
|
2,002
|
| 6 |
Required
appointment of authorized supervisor (Strengthened
restrictions on money lending business) |
10.0
|
1,086
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| 7 |
Abolished
deemed acceptance of payment of illegally high interest
rates |
4.6
|
500
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| 8 |
Others |
3.9
|
419
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|
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Demerits
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%
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# of firms
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| 1 |
Increased
difficulty in borrowing small amounts in emergencies |
50.7
|
5,475
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| * |
Increased
bankruptcies |
48.6
|
5,251
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| 2* |
Increased
bankruptcies (of sole proprietorships) |
45.8
|
4,945
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| 3 |
More
sluggish consumption |
29.3
|
3,163
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| 4* |
Increased
bankruptcies (of incorporated companies) |
14.9
|
1,609
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| 5 |
Increased
requests from buyers for moratoriums |
14.3
|
1,547
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| 6 |
Increased
credit management costs |
10.7
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1,156
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| 7 |
Others |
6.1
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654
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Note 1: "Increased bankruptcies"
shows the number of companies that chose either
"Increased bankruptcies (of sole proprietorships)"
or "Increased bankruptcies (of incorporated
companies)".
Note 2: Population parameter: 10,806 companies
that gave valid responses
Note 3: * "Increased Bankurptcies) in Demerits
is the sum of #2 and #4 in Demerits.
3.7% borrowed or borrowing from moneylenders
subject to revised act
88.7% of the 10,806 companies that gave valid responses
are not currently borrowing or have not borrowed in
the past from a moneylender that is subject to the
Money lending Control Act, which include consumer
lending firms, financing brokers, bill discounters,
credit card companies (for cashing only), credit loan
companies, general leasing companies, and retail companies.
Meanwhile, 3.7% of the 10,806 companies said they
are currently borrowing or borrowed in the past from
these companies. The smaller the size of a company,
the more likely the company has borrowed from these
lenders, as 6.6% of micro-enterprises have borrowed
from them while only 2.2% of large-sized companies
have the same borrowing experience. By industry of
the respondent, 9.0% of real-estate companies are
borrowing or have borrowed from these lenders, representing
the largest share of companies in an industry that
have or had such lenders, followed by 6.6% of the
service industry and 5.8% of the retail industry,
indicating that many of domestic demand-induced industries
are borrowing or have borrowed from these lenders.
Experience
of Borrowing from Lenders Subject to The Act
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Borrowing
(Have borrowed)
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Not
borrowing
(Have not borrowed)
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Don't
know
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Total
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| Total |
3.7
|
399
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88.7
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9,583
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7.6
|
824
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10,806
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| Large-sized |
2.2
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58
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87.1
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2,269
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10.7
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279
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2,606
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| Mid-to-small-sized |
4.2
|
341
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89.2
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7,314
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6.6
|
545
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8,200
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Incl.
micro-firms |
6.6
|
149
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86.3
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1,945
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7.1
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160
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2,254
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| Agriculture,
Forestry and Fishery |
2.5
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1
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87.5
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35
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10.0
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4
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40
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| Finance |
4.6
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6
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76.9
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100
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18.5
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24
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130
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| Construction |
3.2
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49
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89.4
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1,370
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7.4
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113
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1,532
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| Real
estate |
9.0
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24
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82.0
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218
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9.0
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24
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266
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| Manufacturing |
3.1
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96
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88.2
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2,686
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8.7
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265
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3,047
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| Wholesale |
2.3
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80
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91.1
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3,132
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6.6
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227
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3,439
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| Retail |
5.8
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26
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85.3
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384
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8.9
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40
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450
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| Transportation
and warehousing |
4.9
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19
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86.6
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336
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8.5
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33
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388
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| Service |
6.6
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98
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87.4
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1,299
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6.0
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90
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1,487
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| Other |
0.0
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0
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85.2
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23
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14.8
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4
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27
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(left:
%, right: # of firm)
85.1% believe revised act will have no impact on
cash flow
More than 80%, or 85.1%, of the 10,806 companies
said they did not expect the revised act to have an
impact on their cash flow.
Meanwhile, 3.0% expect the revised act to impact
cash flow, consisting of 0.3% forecasting a strong
impact and 2.7% a small impact.
By size of the respondent, an impact on cash flow
was forecast by 5.0% of micro-companies, compared
with 2.3% of large-sized companies. Nearly 20%, or
18.5%, of the 399 companies that are borrowing or
have borrowed from a lender subject to the Money lending
Control Act expect the revision to affect their cash
flow.
The smaller the size of a company, the more likely
the company's cash flow will be affected by the revision
of the act. In addition, a company that is borrowing
or has borrowed from a lender subject to the act is
more likely to be affected by the revised act than
a company that has no such lenders is. The government
should provide a safety net to mitigate the demerits
of the revision of the act, as a Nagano-based food
and beverage retail company said, "public organizations
should play their required roles."
Impact
of Revised Act on Cash Flows
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Has impact*
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Strong impact
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Weak impact
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No impact
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Don't know
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Total
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| Total |
3.0
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328
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0.3
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35
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2.7
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293
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85.1
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9,199
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11.8
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1,279
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10,806
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| Large-sized |
2.3
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58
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0.1
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3
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2.1
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56
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84.7
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2,208
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13.0
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339
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2,606
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| Mid-to-small-sized |
3.3
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269
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0.4
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32
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2.9
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237
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85.3
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6,991
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11.5
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940
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8,200
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Incl.
micro-firms |
5.0
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113
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1.0
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22
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4.0
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91
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81.3
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1,832
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13.7
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309
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2,254
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Borrowing experience
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Borrowing
(Have borrowed) |
18.5
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74
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4.8
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19
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13.8
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55
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68.9
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275
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12.5
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50
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399
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Not
borrowing
(Have not borrowed) |
2.5
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235
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0.2
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15
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2.3
|
220
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90.7
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8,689
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6.9
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659
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9,583
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| Don't
know |
2.3
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19
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0.1
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1
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2.2
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18
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28.5
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235
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69.2
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570
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824
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(left:
%, right: # of firm)
Note: *"Has Impace" is
the sam of "Strong Impact" and "Weak
Impact".
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